Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.034403 0.040239 0.046669 0.054268 0.062989 0.072671 0.084220
2025-06-15 0.026547 0.034373 0.043808 0.055964 0.071153 0.089439 0.113051
2025-06-22 0.020366 0.028873 0.039974 0.055399 0.076130 0.102863 0.139751
2025-06-29 0.015674 0.024133 0.035994 0.053620 0.078884 0.113471 0.164004
2025-07-06 0.012558 0.020843 0.033234 0.052788 0.082452 0.125237 0.190919
2025-07-13 0.011075 0.019634 0.033176 0.055686 0.091530 0.145569 0.232053
2025-07-20 0.009709 0.018308 0.032648 0.057651 0.099275 0.164598 0.273136
2025-07-27 0.008048 0.016136 0.030343 0.056304 0.101428 0.175046 0.301845
2025-08-03 0.006837 0.014524 0.028697 0.055747 0.104671 0.187366 0.334531
2025-08-10 0.005690 0.012800 0.026548 0.053929 0.105397 0.195412 0.360704
2025-08-17 0.004802 0.011412 0.024790 0.052531 0.106604 0.204245 0.388846
2025-08-24 0.004202 0.010510 0.023831 0.052496 0.110257 0.217631 0.426062
2025-08-31 0.003546 0.009371 0.022235 0.051030 0.111111 0.226243 0.455956
2025-09-07 0.003304 0.009149 0.022561 0.053591 0.120257 0.251278 0.518711
2025-09-14 0.002901 0.008452 0.021722 0.053529 0.124020 0.266317 0.563820
2025-09-21 0.002469 0.007582 0.020336 0.052040 0.124573 0.275034 0.597350
2025-09-28 0.002146 0.006932 0.019363 0.051347 0.126737 0.287158 0.638678
2025-10-05 0.002045 0.006883 0.019870 0.054233 0.137208 0.317420 0.719537
2025-10-12 0.001906 0.006694 0.019990 0.056183 0.145740 0.344304 0.795532
2025-10-19 0.001648 0.006082 0.018882 0.054883 0.146482 0.354400 0.836754
2025-10-26 0.001454 0.005624 0.018115 0.054346 0.148980 0.368555 0.887859
2025-11-02 0.001245 0.005062 0.016952 0.052574 0.148201 0.375214 0.922951
2025-11-09 0.001077 0.004599 0.015992 0.051210 0.148276 0.383799 0.963007